For decades, Florida has been a top retirement destination, attracting older adults with its warm climate, tax advantages, and vibrant communities. However, many pre-retirees and retirees are now rethinking their plans as climate change intensifies natural disasters and increases the cost of living in highly desirable areas. While Florida remains popular, migration to the Sun Belt is slowing. A Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco study found that this trend is particularly pronounced among young adults (ages 20-29) and older adults (ages 60-69). Rising insurance costs, more frequent hurricanes, and the financial burden of maintaining homes in high-risk areas contribute to this shift.

Reassessing the Florida dream

For some retirees, the costs and risks of Florida living have become unsustainable. Take, for example, a widowed client near Fort Lauderdale who saw her annual homeowner’s insurance premium jump from $8,950 to $18,500 in 2023 – despite never filing a claim. The following year, it rose again to $20,000, forcing her to switch carriers for a slightly lower, yet still staggering, $13,900 premium. This is not an isolated case. According to Bankrate, the average annual premium for a $300,000 home in Florida is now $5,488 – more than double the national average of $2,258. Costs vary significantly based on location, with coastal properties facing even higher premiums. Additionally, flood insurance – required in many areas – is not included in standard homeowner’s policies, adding another financial burden.

For some retirees, these escalating costs are a deal-breaker. One of my clients is leaving Siesta Key, citing skyrocketing insurance rates and frequent hurricane evacuations. “This isn’t how we want to spend our retirement years or our savings,” they told me.

Navigating a changing environment

If you’re considering retiring in Florida – or any disaster-prone area – it’s crucial to test the waters before making a long-term commitment. Renting first allows you to experience the realities of Florida living without the financial risks of homeownership.

Many retirees prefer the flexibility of renting, as it makes relocating easier if conditions worsen.

Key factors to consider

1. Real estate & homeownership costs

Monitor real estate trends and be patient. Property values in high-risk areas may fluctuate as climate risks become more pronounced.

Research homeowner’s insurance costs thoroughly. Premiums vary widely based on location, home value, and proximity to the coast.

Account for flood insurance, which is often mandatory and not covered by standard policies.

2. Climate & disaster risks

Use tools like Climate Central’s risk model to assess how climate change may affect specific areas over time.

Consider alternative retirement destinations with lower climate risks. While the Pacific Northwest was once seen as a climate haven, recent wildfires in Oregon and Washington have raised concerns. States like Minnesota and Michigan may offer more stability, though they come with harsher winters.

3. Healthcare & community resources

Ensure quality healthcare facilities are nearby. Florida has excellent retiree healthcare services, but access varies by region.

Look for communities with strong disaster preparedness plans, emergency response systems, and senior support networks.

4. Financial planning for uncertainty

Build flexibility into your budget to accommodate rising costs, including home maintenance, insurance, and utilities.

If you plan to leave your home as part of your estate, be mindful that future climate risks could impact its long-term value. Lower resale prices may reduce the inheritance for your heirs or the funds available for your long-term care.

The future of retirement planning

Climate change is reshaping retirement in ways many hadn’t anticipated. Florida remains an attractive option, but it’s no longer the simple, affordable choice it once was. Retirees must weigh the benefits of warm weather and tax advantages against the financial and logistical challenges of living in a high-risk area.

For those still committed to the Florida dream, flexibility is essential. Renting before buying, exploring alternative locations, and ensuring financial preparedness will help you make a more informed and secure retirement decision.

If you’re reconsidering your retirement strategy, now is the time to consult a financial advisor. Together, we can assess your options and create a plan that balances lifestyle goals with long-term financial security.

Aaron Taylor is with Bush Wealth Management. This information should not be construed by any client or prospective client as the rendering of personalized investment advice.  For more information, please visit BushWealth.com for full disclosures.